Biparietal diameter for first-trimester pregnancy dating: multicenter cohort study

Abstract

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the accuracy of fetal biparietal diameter (BPD) measurement in comparison with crown-rump length (CRL) measurement for pregnancy dating at 11-13 weeks' gestation. METHODS: This was a retrospective multicenter cohort study performed in five maternity units in Spain, the UK, Belgium and Bulgaria between January 2011 and December 2019. We included all women who attended a routine ultrasound examination at 11 + 0 to 13 + 6 weeks who had a singleton pregnancy with a viable non-malformed fetus/neonate and ultrasound-derived measurements for both CRL and BPD, along with a comprehensive record of pregnancy outcomes. We developed a formula for pregnancy dating based on BPD using data from pregnancies conceived via in-vitro fertilization (IVF) by applying a simple linear regression. We validated this formula both internally and externally and compared it with the most commonly used formulae (Robinson's CRL-based and Kustermann's BPD-based formulae) through utilization of the Euclidean distance, relative absolute error and mean squared error. We also examined the rate of induction of labor for post-term pregnancy based on dating using each of the formulae. RESULTS: A total of 49 492 women were included in the study, comprising 47 223 (95.4%) who conceived spontaneously and 2269 (4.6%) who conceived via IVF. In the internal validation performed using data from IVF pregnancies, our newly developed formula showed no significant difference when compared with the true gestational age calculated using conception date, with a mean difference of 0.0006 (95% CI, -0.09 to 0.09) days. In contrast, the mean difference of Kustermann's BPD-based formula was -0.31 (95% CI, -0.46 to -0.17) days and the mean difference of Robinson's CRL-based formula was -1.78 (95% CI, -1.88 to -1.68) days. In the external validation using data from spontaneously conceived pregnancies, with dating using Robinson's formula as the reference for 'true' gestational age, both our formula and Kustermann's formula resulted in underestimation of gestational age, with significant mean differences of -1.25 (95% CI, -1.28 to -1.22) days and -0.96 (95% CI, -0.98 to -0.93) days, respectively. The largest differences compared with Robinson's formula-based dating results were observed between 11 + 0 and 12 + 0 weeks. Dating the pregnancy using Robinson's formula led to 8.1% of pregnancies identified as requiring induction after 41 + 3 weeks, compared with 6.8% (P < 0.001) and 7.0% (P < 0.001) when applying our formula and Kustermann's formula, respectively. CONCLUSION: Pregnancy dating based on ultrasound measurement of fetal BPD between 11 + 0 and 13 + 6 weeks' gestation is a reliable alternative to dating based on fetal CRL. © 2025 International Society of Ultrasound in Obstetrics and Gynecology.